The Solo Capitalist

The Solo Capitalist

Why AI Will Never Replace Great Investors

Creativity will always be the edge that sets great investors apart

Keenan's avatar
Keenan
Nov 29, 2024
∙ Paid
A pencil sketch cartoon of an investor working hard at a desk in a messy bedroom setting, now in landscape format. The investor is casually dressed in a t-shirt and jeans, surrounded by books stacked haphazardly on the desk and floor. Multiple screens on the desk and wall show stock charts and financial graphs, creating a busy and analytical atmosphere. Papers, notebooks, and a laptop are scattered around. The bed in the background is unmade, adding to the casual and lived-in feel. A small lamp illuminates the workspace, emphasizing a focused and determined environment with a mix of data and personal clutter.

The skill of being a great investor is half art and half science and people within the industry know this. The science (advanced math, economics, and financial modeling (among other examples)) is less than half of what’s required to be a good investor today. With recent advancements in AI, the emphasis on science continues to diminish.

I believe investing is very much like entrepreneurship in how opportunities are assessed based on risk/return scenarios, especially in early-stage investing. The initial screening and assessments are similar; however, the execution is where the two diverge. Investors back the jockey, while entrepreneurs back the horse. Both play in the same race, aiming for the same outcome: achieving outsized non-normal returns on their capital. Since entrepreneurs take on more risk, they should expect a much higher return.

That said, I believe the skills needed to be a great investor are essential to being a great entrepreneur. These include knowing who to partner with (or who to back), understanding markets (and knowing how to size them), and having a strong grasp of unit economics (including financial statements). All these skills are a must for both entrepreneurs and investors alike.

What drives financial models?

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